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Oscar Senses Tingling, Part One

The Tree of Life
What it's likely to get nominated for: Supporting Actor (Pitt), Cinematography
What I'd like it to be nominated for: Best Picture

Many have viewed 'Tree' as divisive and very few can agree on what it means, but with the new Best Picture formula (must have 5% of first-place votes) and the die-hard devotees of Malick's latest I think it may sneak into the big dance.

Drive
What it's likely to get nominated for: Supporting Actor (Brooks)
What I'd like it to be nominated for: Best Picture, Supporting Actor (Brooks)

The violence will most likely turn off Academy members from voting for Drive into the Best Picture field, but the main purveyor of said violence stands the best chance of a nomination. Albert Brooks is beloved by nearly all of the Academy and his against-the-grain turn as a mobster could very well be the lead contender in the field.

Moneyball
What it's likely to get nominated for: Lead Actor (Pitt)
What I'd like it to be nominated for: Best Picture, Lead Actor (Pitt)

Last year there was Blind Side, another of Michael Lewis's works, and here is a better flick that could do what that film couldn't: win the big show. The big question will come down to whether there are enough people willing to put Moneyball at #1 on their ballot. I don't know who couldn't find a space for it. If the story of a man fighting the odds constantly and consistently against the Goliaths of his sport cannot win Oscar gold, what can?

50/50
What it's likely to get nominated for: Original Screenplay
What I'd like it to be nominated for: Lead Actor

A very human look at living with cancer. The Academy is quite fond of physical transformations onscreen and if Levitt shaving his head with questionable trimmers doesn't cut it (forgive the pun) nothing else should.

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